RESEARCH PAPER
Survival analysis and predictors of mortality for adult HIV/AIDS patients following antiretroviral therapy in Mizan-Tepi University Teaching Hospital, Southwest Ethiopia: a retrospective cohort study
 
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1
Mizan-Tepi University Teaching Hospital, Ethiopia
 
2
Addis Ababa University, Ethiopia
 
 
Submission date: 2020-06-22
 
 
Final revision date: 2021-05-06
 
 
Acceptance date: 2021-05-07
 
 
Publication date: 2022-01-18
 
 
HIV & AIDS Review 2022;21(1):58-68
 
KEYWORDS
TOPICS
ABSTRACT
Introduction:
Acquired immune deficiency syndrome (AIDS) is a medical condition caused by human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), and has been the major concern worldwide. Despite antiretroviral treatment (ART) treatment showing significant clinical importance by meeting the goal of the­rapy, there is still a number of deaths due to socio-economic, demographic, and health-related factors. Therefore, this study was aimed to investigate the survival status and predictors of mortality for adult HIV-positive patients treated with ART.

Material and methods:
A retrospective cohort study was conducted with 1,285 of HIV-infected patients aged 15 years and greater, who were enrolled in ART at Mizan-Tepi University Teaching Hospital from September, 2007 to January, 2015. A multivariable Cox regression model was applied to assess significant predictors of mortality.

Results:
During follow-up period, a total of 1,285 patients contributed to 59,237 person/year of follow-up, and 273 (21%) of the patients died, showing overall incidence rate of 4.6 per 1,000 persons/year (273/59,237). The median follow-up period was 44 months. During follow-up, 273 (21%) patients died, of whom nearly 32% and 12% of deaths occurred within 6 months and between 6 and 12 months of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) initiation, respectively.

Conclusions:
Multivariable Cox proportional hazards model revealed that having concomitant tuberculosis infection, low baseline CD4 count, low baseline weight, living in rural area, using of a substance, older age, lower educational level, higher World Health Organization (WHO) clinical stages, functional status, and marital status were all significantly associated with progression to death for HIV/AIDS-infected patients.

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